Scouting Report
Marcus Foligno holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 51.7% vs Thompson 54.3% (+4.3%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 70.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 73.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 57.6%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Foligno
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (13)
55.5% (236)
-1.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
60.0% (5)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
83.3% (6)
56.5% (46)
+26.8%
On power play, Thompson has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Foligno is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (11).
Foligno shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Foligno
Thompson
Home
70.0% (10)
53.1% (128)
Away
50.0% (10)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Foligno
Thompson
P1
50.0%
59.0%
P2
60.0%
55.4%
P3
100.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
25.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
42.0%▬
41.0%
60.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%