Scouting Report
Cal O'Reilly holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Johansson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.1% vs Johansson 41.7% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 85.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 80.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 79.4%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
O'Reilly
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
O'Reilly
Johansson
Last 5: O'Reilly 4-1 Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Johansson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Johansson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Johansson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (403)
40.3% (596)
+5.9%
Power Play
48.1% (79)
47.2% (36)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
42.9% (28)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. O'Reilly is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
O'Reilly shoots left. Johansson is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Johansson
Home
48.1% (243)
43.5% (313)
Away
44.9% (254)
37.9% (356)
By Period
O'Reilly
Johansson
P1
43.2%
42.6%
P2
45.6%
42.9%
P3
50.9%
36.4%
OT
42.9%
22.2%
Final 5 min
48.0%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
46.5%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
40.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |