Marcus Johansson vs Mathew Barzal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 48.3% vs Barzal 41.9% (-2.8%)
Offensive zone
Johansson 50.0%
Defensive zone
Barzal 71.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 60.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Johansson
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (12)
40.9% (469)
+0.8%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
34.2% (38)
-9.2%
On power play, Barzal has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Johansson is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Johansson shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Johansson
Barzal
Home
25.0% (8)
39.2% (250)
Away
50.0% (8)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Johansson
Barzal
P1
62.5%
46.3%
P2
25.0%
36.7%
P3
0.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
66.7%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
26.0%▼
37.0%
37.5%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%