Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Johansson wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 41.3% vs Domi 48.8% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 80.2%
Defensive zone
Domi 83.5%
Neutral zone
Domi 76.7%
Result
Max Domi favored at 79.0%
21.0%
79.0%
Johansson
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Johansson
Domi
Last 9: Johansson 6-3 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johansson
Domi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
2
0
Johansson
Domi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansson
3
2
Johansson
Domi
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (2,523)
48.1% (4,339)
-7.1%
Power Play
42.3% (352)
53.5% (636)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (80)
48.8% (41)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Johansson is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,939).
Johansson shoots left. Domi is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,370).
Home / Away
Johansson
Domi
Home
42.7% (1,459)
49.8% (2,614)
Away
39.4% (1,520)
47.8% (2,402)
By Period
Johansson
Domi
P1
42.7%
48.7%
P2
40.4%
48.3%
P3
40.5%
49.7%
OT
28.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
42.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
26.0%▼
37.0%
41.0%
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 2 | 04:34 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 05:04 | Neutral | Max Domi |