Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Johansson wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 41.4% vs Koivu 51.8% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansson 80.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 64.1%
Neutral zone
Johansson 66.5%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Johansson
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Johansson
Koivu
Last 10: Johansson 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
2
1
Johansson
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Johansson
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
6
Johansson
Koivu
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (2,521)
51.9% (3,221)
-10.9%
Power Play
42.5% (351)
59.3% (437)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (80)
48.0% (764)
-11.7%
On power play, Koivu has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Johansson is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,937).
Johansson shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Johansson
Koivu
Home
42.7% (1,458)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
39.5% (1,518)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Johansson
Koivu
P1
42.8%
51.1%
P2
40.4%
52.6%
P3
40.5%
51.8%
OT
28.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
42.5%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 15:36 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 12:05 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 11:37 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |