Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 50.5% vs Thomas 51.6% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 85.8%
Defensive zone
Kruger 76.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 55.9%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Kruger
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kruger
Thomas
Last 8: Kruger 5-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Kruger
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
2
0
Kruger
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
3
2
Kruger
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (3,509)
51.1% (5,387)
+1.3%
Power Play
46.5% (99)
55.8% (927)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (860)
50.2% (697)
-7.3%
On power play, Thomas has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Kruger is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,711).
Kruger shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Home / Away
Kruger
Thomas
Home
52.7% (2,242)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
48.3% (2,231)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Kruger
Thomas
P1
49.7%
50.7%
P2
49.7%
53.0%
P3
52.1%
50.8%
OT
53.2%
59.2%
Final 5 min
51.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 02:41 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |