Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.7% vs Seguin 53.6% (-15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 50.7%
Defensive zone
Kempe 57.1%
Neutral zone
Kempe 59.3%
Result
Mario Kempe favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Kempe
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kempe
Seguin
Last 6: Kempe 2-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Kempe
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (380)
53.7% (8,071)
-15.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
55.9% (810)
-22.6%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
49.3% (762)
-18.0%
On power play, Seguin has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kempe is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Kempe shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Kempe
Seguin
Home
40.1% (177)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
36.9% (222)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Kempe
Seguin
P1
34.7%
52.8%
P2
40.4%
53.3%
P3
38.8%
54.7%
OT
100.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
39.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Mario Kempe |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |