Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mark Jankowski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Jankowski 50.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 18-6 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 81.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 95.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 91.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Pageau
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
6
(24 meetings)
18
6
Pageau
Jankowski
Last 10: Pageau 8-2 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
12
2
Pageau
Jankowski
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
3
Pageau
Jankowski
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
1
Pageau
Jankowski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,514)
51.5% (3,490)
+4.3%
Power Play
57.0% (1,007)
53.7% (95)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
42.7% (534)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,864).
Pageau shoots right. Jankowski is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,570).
Home / Away
Pageau
Jankowski
Home
56.3% (6,255)
51.8% (1,961)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
49.1% (2,158)
By Period
Pageau
Jankowski
P1
54.7%
49.8%
P2
56.3%
51.1%
P3
53.5%
50.3%
OT
54.4%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
58.0%▬
59.0%
54.8%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:04 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:35 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |