Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 58.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 59.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 53.0%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Jankowski
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jankowski
Zibanejad
Last 5: Jankowski 2-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Jankowski
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
53.3% (807)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
47.6% (42)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
46.3% (147)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Jankowski is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Jankowski shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Zibanejad
Home
53.2% (331)
49.8% (466)
Away
54.2% (284)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Jankowski
Zibanejad
P1
52.7%
52.9%
P2
55.8%
51.2%
P3
52.5%
51.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:43 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |