Mark Jankowski vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Backlund 49.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 78.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 77.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.8%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Jankowski
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jankowski
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Jankowski
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
50.5% (944)
+3.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
51.5% (66)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
47.1% (297)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Jankowski is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Jankowski shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Backlund
Home
53.2% (331)
48.1% (636)
Away
54.2% (284)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Jankowski
Backlund
P1
52.7%
45.4%
P2
55.8%
54.1%
P3
52.5%
49.2%
Final 5 min
54.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |