Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Marner 42.7% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marner 74.0%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 57.6%
Neutral zone
Marner 55.3%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Jankowski
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jankowski
Marner
Last 5: Jankowski 2-3 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Marner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Marner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marner
0
1
Jankowski
Marner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,490)
41.7% (496)
+9.8%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
55.6% (18)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (534)
35.4% (65)
+7.3%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Jankowski is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,570).
Jankowski shoots left. Marner is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Marner
Home
51.8% (1,961)
38.0% (321)
Away
49.1% (2,158)
45.7% (258)
By Period
Jankowski
Marner
P1
49.8%
38.7%
P2
51.1%
41.5%
P3
50.3%
45.5%
OT
20.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2017 | 3 | 12:10 | Neutral | Mitch Marner |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |