Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.5% vs Barron 51.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barron 52.1%
Defensive zone
Barron 53.8%
Neutral zone
Barron 50.1%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Jankowski
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jankowski
Barron
Last 5: Jankowski 2-3 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
1
Jankowski
Barron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
1
Jankowski
Barron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
1
Jankowski
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (347)
52.6% (152)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (75)
45.5% (11)
-1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Jankowski is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Jankowski shoots left. Barron is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Barron
Home
46.8% (188)
46.1% (76)
Away
53.5% (245)
57.5% (87)
By Period
Jankowski
Barron
P1
51.6%
63.0%
P2
49.3%
51.0%
P3
50.9%
45.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
54.0%▼
57.0%
50.6%
Barron
38.0%▼
43.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |