Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Geekie 47.7% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 59.2%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 58.7%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 51.8%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Jankowski
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jankowski
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Jankowski
Geekie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
46.7% (120)
+7.0%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
48.6% (35)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
0.0% (3)
+54.3%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +54.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Jankowski is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Jankowski shoots left. Geekie is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Geekie
Home
53.2% (331)
46.8% (77)
Away
54.2% (284)
45.7% (81)
By Period
Jankowski
Geekie
P1
52.7%
42.4%
P2
55.8%
49.1%
P3
52.5%
47.6%
Final 5 min
54.2%
35.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |