Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Zacha 51.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 57.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 61.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 51.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Jankowski
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Jankowski
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Jankowski
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
53.0% (700)
+0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
54.1% (109)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
39.2% (74)
+15.1%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Jankowski is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Jankowski shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Zacha
Home
53.2% (331)
51.6% (438)
Away
54.2% (284)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Jankowski
Zacha
P1
52.7%
57.0%
P2
55.8%
48.9%
P3
52.5%
50.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |