Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Krebs 45.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 54.7%
Defensive zone
Krebs 53.8%
Neutral zone
Krebs 52.9%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Jankowski
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jankowski
Krebs
Last 7: Jankowski 3-4 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Jankowski
Krebs
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Jankowski
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,490)
46.0% (2,174)
+5.5%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
52.5% (101)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (534)
38.6% (171)
+4.1%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,549).
Jankowski shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,555).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Krebs
Home
51.8% (1,961)
45.6% (1,199)
Away
49.1% (2,158)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Jankowski
Krebs
P1
49.8%
45.9%
P2
51.1%
46.5%
P3
50.3%
44.7%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |