Scouting Report
Rodrigo Abols holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Abols on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Jankowski wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Abols shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.5% vs Abols 54.5% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abols 65.2%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 73.1%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 58.4%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Jankowski
Abols
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Jankowski
Abols
Last 8: Jankowski 4-4 Abols
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Abols
2
3
Jankowski
Abols
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
1
Jankowski
Abols
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Abols
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (347)
57.8% (109)
-6.5%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
66.7% (3)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (75)
100.0% (1)
-56.0%
On penalty kill, Abols has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Abols shoots left. Jankowski is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Jankowski shoots left. Abols is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Abols
Home
46.8% (188)
60.0% (65)
Away
53.5% (245)
56.3% (48)
By Period
Jankowski
Abols
P1
51.6%
58.8%
P2
49.3%
50.0%
P3
50.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
65.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.6%
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
58.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |