Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 51.2%). Look for Colton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Colton 51.1% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 54.4%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 57.0%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 51.6%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Jankowski
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Jankowski
Colton
Last 8: Jankowski 3-5 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
1
Jankowski
Colton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
0
4
Jankowski
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,490)
51.6% (1,803)
-0.1%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
48.8% (162)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (534)
34.5% (29)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,549).
Jankowski shoots left. Colton is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,297).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Colton
Home
51.8% (1,961)
52.0% (1,015)
Away
49.1% (2,158)
50.3% (979)
By Period
Jankowski
Colton
P1
49.8%
53.7%
P2
51.1%
52.6%
P3
50.3%
47.9%
OT
20.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:06 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Ross Colton |