Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.9%). Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Jankowski wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Couturier 53.6% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 71.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 61.0%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 53.9%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Jankowski
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jankowski
Couturier
Last 7: Jankowski 3-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
3
Jankowski
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Jankowski
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
53.9% (792)
-0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
62.9% (70)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
51.3% (234)
+3.0%
On power play, Couturier has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Jankowski is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Jankowski shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Couturier
Home
53.2% (331)
51.4% (541)
Away
54.2% (284)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Jankowski
Couturier
P1
52.7%
56.0%
P2
55.8%
52.6%
P3
52.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |