Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Wright 43.3% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 73.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 61.1%
Neutral zone
Wright 55.4%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Jankowski
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jankowski
Wright
Last 7: Jankowski 3-4 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
3
Jankowski
Wright
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Wright
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,490)
42.7% (1,326)
+8.8%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
45.1% (133)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (534)
33.3% (6)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Jankowski is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,570).
Jankowski shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Wright
Home
51.8% (1,961)
44.2% (746)
Away
49.1% (2,158)
41.4% (719)
By Period
Jankowski
Wright
P1
49.8%
44.5%
P2
51.1%
40.5%
P3
50.3%
44.0%
OT
20.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |