Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Crosby 55.1% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 61.4%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 62.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 50.7%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Jankowski
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Jankowski
Crosby
Last 10: Jankowski 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Jankowski
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
1
Jankowski
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
1
Jankowski
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
53.3% (1,025)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
64.7% (249)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
60.0% (15)
-5.7%
On power play, Crosby has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Jankowski is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Jankowski shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Crosby
Home
53.2% (331)
56.9% (675)
Away
54.2% (284)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Jankowski
Crosby
P1
52.7%
55.1%
P2
55.8%
53.1%
P3
52.5%
58.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 17:20 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 09:57 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |