Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Nosek 53.6% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 65.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 63.1%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 63.6%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Jankowski
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Jankowski
Nosek
Last 9: Jankowski 3-6 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Jankowski
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
4
Jankowski
Nosek
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,490)
54.9% (2,710)
-3.4%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
45.8% (48)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (534)
47.2% (428)
-4.5%
On power play, Jankowski has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,549).
Jankowski shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Nosek
Home
51.8% (1,961)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
49.1% (2,158)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Jankowski
Nosek
P1
49.8%
52.2%
P2
51.1%
54.1%
P3
50.3%
54.7%
OT
20.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 08:23 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 03:24 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |