Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.6%). Jankowski wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Seguin 52.5% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 60.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 54.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 54.3%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Jankowski
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
53.2% (201)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
60.0% (25)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
44.4% (9)
+9.9%
On power play, Seguin has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jankowski is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Jankowski shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Seguin
Home
53.2% (331)
56.3% (126)
Away
54.2% (284)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Jankowski
Seguin
P1
52.7%
44.3%
P2
55.8%
52.1%
P3
52.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%