Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kozak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jankowski wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Kozak 49.7% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 63.1%
Defensive zone
Kozak 80.0%
Neutral zone
Kozak 62.6%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Jankowski
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Jankowski
Kozak
Last 7: Jankowski 2-5 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Kozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
4
Jankowski
Kozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
49.3% (294)
+4.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
50.0% (40)
+4.3%
On power play, Kozak has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Jankowski is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Jankowski shoots left. Kozak is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Kozak
Home
53.2% (331)
45.5% (145)
Away
54.2% (284)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Jankowski
Kozak
P1
52.7%
53.4%
P2
55.8%
50.0%
P3
52.5%
44.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 18:13 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 07:04 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |