Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Johnston 48.0% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 70.8%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 63.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 62.0%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Jankowski
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Jankowski
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
47.3% (666)
+6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
50.7% (69)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
51.4% (35)
+2.9%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Jankowski is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Jankowski shoots left. Johnston is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Johnston
Home
53.2% (331)
47.5% (364)
Away
54.2% (284)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Jankowski
Johnston
P1
52.7%
49.4%
P2
55.8%
46.9%
P3
52.5%
47.1%
Final 5 min
54.2%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |