Anthony Cirelli vs Mark Kastelic
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Kastelic leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 77.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 71.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 53.7%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Cirelli
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Cirelli
Kastelic
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
5
3
Cirelli
Kastelic
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Cirelli
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
57.0% (1,635)
-7.3%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
80.0% (25)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
53.8% (279)
-10.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,874).
Cirelli shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,445).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kastelic
Home
49.6% (3,838)
58.7% (904)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
55.2% (1,035)
By Period
Cirelli
Kastelic
P1
49.9%
58.6%
P2
48.7%
56.5%
P3
49.3%
55.6%
OT
51.1%
53.8%
Final 5 min
50.9%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |