Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 47.7% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 96.3%
Defensive zone
Krejci 75.6%
Neutral zone
Krejci 85.4%
Result
David Krejci favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Krejci
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Krejci
Kastelic
Last 5: Krejci 0-5 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Krejci
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
4
Krejci
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (669)
58.0% (476)
-10.8%
Power Play
53.7% (54)
75.0% (8)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
50.9% (106)
-15.6%
On power play, Kastelic has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Krejci is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Krejci shoots right. Kastelic is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Krejci
Kastelic
Home
52.0% (381)
64.9% (265)
Away
42.6% (359)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Krejci
Kastelic
P1
47.2%
58.5%
P2
43.7%
55.6%
P3
51.9%
56.8%
Final 5 min
44.3%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Kastelic
62.0%▬
62.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |