Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.5% vs McTavish 51.5% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone
McTavish 54.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 60.6%
Neutral zone
McTavish 56.7%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Kastelic
McTavish
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (337)
51.3% (725)
+2.1%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
55.8% (113)
+44.2%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
28.6% (7)
+46.4%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Kastelic shoots right. McTavish is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Kastelic
McTavish
Home
56.2% (162)
52.0% (454)
Away
52.9% (187)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Kastelic
McTavish
P1
58.2%
51.3%
P2
58.8%
50.4%
P3
45.4%
53.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
54.4%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
51.7%