Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.1% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+10.3%)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 61.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 68.8%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 52.0%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Kastelic
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (362)
49.7% (292)
+11.1%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
50.0% (6)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
56.2% (146)
47.2% (36)
+9.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Kastelic is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Kastelic shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Bjugstad
Home
60.3% (242)
48.7% (193)
Away
59.2% (272)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Kastelic
Bjugstad
P1
58.9%
41.5%
P2
57.3%
57.3%
P3
64.0%
50.0%
OT
53.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
66.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%