Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.1% vs Sturm 53.6% (+5.1%)
Offensive zone
Sturm 56.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 53.5%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 51.6%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Kastelic
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (362)
54.6% (271)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
56.2% (146)
54.4% (90)
+1.8%
On even strength, Kastelic has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Kastelic shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Sturm
Home
60.3% (242)
53.0% (168)
Away
59.2% (272)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Kastelic
Sturm
P1
58.9%
58.2%
P2
57.3%
53.2%
P3
64.0%
52.3%
OT
53.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
66.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%