Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.8% vs 57.7%). Kastelic wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 56.5% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 61.8%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 57.5%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 51.5%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Kastelic
Gaustad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,635)
58.2% (4,334)
-1.2%
Power Play
80.0% (25)
65.4% (188)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (279)
54.8% (1,290)
-1.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,445).
Kastelic shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Gaustad
Home
58.7% (904)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
55.2% (1,035)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Kastelic
Gaustad
P1
58.6%
58.2%
P2
56.5%
56.4%
P3
55.6%
58.3%
OT
53.8%
66.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%