Mark Kastelic vs Philipp Kurashev
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kurashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.1% vs Kurashev 46.9% (+16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 53.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 90.4%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 74.9%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Kastelic
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kastelic
Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Kurashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (362)
50.0% (46)
+10.8%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
40.7% (27)
+42.6%
Penalty Kill
56.2% (146)
0.0% (6)
+56.2%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +56.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Kastelic shoots right. Kurashev is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Kurashev
Home
60.3% (242)
37.5% (40)
Away
59.2% (272)
48.7% (39)
By Period
Kastelic
Kurashev
P1
58.9%
48.6%
P2
57.3%
40.0%
P3
64.0%
37.9%
Final 5 min
66.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |