Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 65.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.4% vs Kupari 52.1% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Kupari 55.0%
Defensive zone
Kupari 53.6%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 51.5%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Kastelic
Kupari
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (345)
53.5% (413)
+1.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
48.2% (85)
-12.9%
On power play, Kastelic has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Kastelic is 65.7% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Kastelic shoots right. Kupari is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Kupari
Home
50.6% (162)
52.1% (257)
Away
57.4% (204)
52.9% (242)
By Period
Kastelic
Kupari
P1
61.5%
50.6%
P2
52.8%
53.6%
P3
50.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
54.4%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
52.5%