Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.1% vs Lorentz 49.5% (+10.7%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 60.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 76.6%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 54.0%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Kastelic
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (362)
51.4% (74)
+9.4%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
50.0% (2)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
56.2% (146)
42.3% (26)
+13.9%
On power play, Kastelic has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Kastelic shoots right. Lorentz is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Lorentz
Home
60.3% (242)
52.9% (68)
Away
59.2% (272)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Kastelic
Lorentz
P1
58.9%
58.6%
P2
57.3%
45.0%
P3
64.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
66.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
49.0%