Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.1% vs Seguin 52.5% (+6.1%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 70.1%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 72.5%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 52.6%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Kastelic
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (362)
53.2% (201)
+7.6%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
60.0% (25)
+23.3%
Penalty Kill
56.2% (146)
44.4% (9)
+11.8%
On power play, Kastelic has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kastelic is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Kastelic shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Seguin
Home
60.3% (242)
56.3% (126)
Away
59.2% (272)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Kastelic
Seguin
P1
58.9%
44.3%
P2
57.3%
52.1%
P3
64.0%
62.5%
OT
53.8%
80.0%
Final 5 min
66.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%