Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Olver 43.0% vs Marner 42.7% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Marner 50.4%
Defensive zone
Marner 53.6%
Neutral zone
Olver 51.8%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Olver
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Olver
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (236)
41.7% (496)
-1.4%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
55.6% (18)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (5)
35.4% (65)
-35.4%
On penalty kill, Marner has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Olver is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Olver shoots left. Marner is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Olver
Marner
Home
39.4% (132)
38.0% (321)
Away
41.3% (126)
45.7% (258)
By Period
Olver
Marner
P1
37.8%
38.7%
P2
41.3%
41.5%
P3
41.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
42.2%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Olver
42.0%▬
41.0%
40.3%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
41.5%