Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 47.0%). Look for Nazar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nazar wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 47.3% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 60.1%
Defensive zone
Nazar 75.7%
Neutral zone
Nazar 60.9%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Nazar
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nazar
Scheifele
Last 5: Nazar 4-1 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nazar
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
3
0
Nazar
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (574)
46.5% (919)
+0.7%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
48.7% (187)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
30.2% (43)
50.0% (54)
-19.8%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Nazar is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Nazar shoots right. Scheifele is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Nazar
Scheifele
Home
45.0% (329)
46.6% (605)
Away
48.5% (431)
47.4% (555)
By Period
Nazar
Scheifele
P1
47.8%
52.3%
P2
43.4%
45.3%
P3
48.4%
43.9%
OT
75.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
45.1%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:48 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |