Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 75.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 59.5%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 52.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Scheifele
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Scheifele
Zibanejad
Last 6: Scheifele 2-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Scheifele
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Scheifele
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
50.9% (913)
-2.8%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
59.0% (39)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
37.5% (160)
+6.9%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Scheifele shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Zibanejad
Home
52.7% (630)
51.1% (536)
Away
43.5% (623)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Scheifele
Zibanejad
P1
50.3%
50.1%
P2
46.8%
47.3%
P3
47.5%
50.7%
OT
36.4%
45.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
48.0%▲
41.5%
48.1%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 30, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:04 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |