Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 77.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 71.0%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 50.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Scheifele
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
49.7% (292)
-3.2%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
50.0% (6)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
47.2% (36)
+2.8%
On even strength, Bjugstad has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Scheifele is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Scheifele shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Home
46.6% (605)
48.7% (193)
Away
47.4% (555)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Scheifele
Bjugstad
P1
52.3%
41.5%
P2
45.3%
57.3%
P3
43.9%
50.0%
OT
27.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |