Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Foligno 49.9% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 72.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 79.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 57.5%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Scheifele
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Scheifele
Foligno
Last 7: Scheifele 4-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
0
Scheifele
Foligno
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Scheifele
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Scheifele
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
49.5% (291)
-3.0%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
55.8% (43)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
47.2% (53)
+2.8%
On power play, Foligno has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Scheifele shoots right. Foligno is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Foligno
Home
46.6% (605)
48.9% (178)
Away
47.4% (555)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Scheifele
Foligno
P1
52.3%
43.0%
P2
45.3%
55.9%
P3
43.9%
50.0%
OT
27.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 12:03 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 04:48 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |