Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Roy 51.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 73.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 89.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 61.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Scheifele
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Scheifele
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
51.9% (547)
-5.4%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
54.1% (37)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
53.3% (92)
-3.3%
On even strength, Roy has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Scheifele is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Scheifele shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Roy
Home
46.6% (605)
54.0% (328)
Away
47.4% (555)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Scheifele
Roy
P1
52.3%
53.5%
P2
45.3%
51.6%
P3
43.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |