Mark Scheifele vs Parker Kelly

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mark Scheifele holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Scheifele 47.2% vs Kelly 41.4% (+10.6%)
Offensive zone Scheifele 72.5%
Defensive zone Kelly 66.0%
Neutral zone Kelly 51.5%
Result Mark Scheifele favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Scheifele Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Scheifele
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
36.5% (159)
+10.0%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
0.0% (1)
+48.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
38.5% (13)
+11.5%
On power play, Scheifele has a +48.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Scheifele shoots right. Kelly is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Kelly
Home
46.6% (605)
35.4% (79)
Away
47.4% (555)
37.2% (94)
By Period
Scheifele
Kelly
P1
52.3%
33.8%
P2
45.3%
36.5%
P3
43.9%
39.6%
Final 5 min
47.2%
37.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%
54.0%
47.0%
Kelly
46.0%
38.0%
36.4%