Mark Scheifele vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Buchnevich 43.3% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Buchnevich leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 56.4%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 54.9%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 50.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Scheifele
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Scheifele
Buchnevich
Last 10: Scheifele 5-5 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
2
4
Scheifele
Buchnevich
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
0
Scheifele
Buchnevich
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Scheifele
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
40.5% (190)
+6.0%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
42.9% (14)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
30.0% (10)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Scheifele shoots right. Buchnevich is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Buchnevich
Home
46.6% (605)
40.7% (118)
Away
47.4% (555)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Scheifele
Buchnevich
P1
52.3%
42.3%
P2
45.3%
37.5%
P3
43.9%
40.3%
OT
27.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |