Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Greig 51.1% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 83.6%
Defensive zone
Greig 76.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 61.8%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Scheifele
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Scheifele
Greig
Last 7: Scheifele 3-4 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
4
Scheifele
Greig
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
51.9% (347)
-5.4%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
66.7% (24)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
44.8% (87)
+5.2%
On power play, Greig has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Scheifele shoots right. Greig is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Greig
Home
46.6% (605)
50.4% (254)
Away
47.4% (555)
52.5% (204)
By Period
Scheifele
Greig
P1
52.3%
45.9%
P2
45.3%
60.1%
P3
43.9%
49.2%
OT
27.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 18:35 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |