Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Thomas 51.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 69.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 66.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Scheifele
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Scheifele
Thomas
Last 6: Scheifele 3-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
0
Scheifele
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Scheifele
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Scheifele
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
50.3% (652)
-3.8%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
61.5% (104)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
54.2% (120)
-4.2%
On power play, Thomas has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Scheifele is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Scheifele shoots right. Thomas is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Thomas
Home
46.6% (605)
52.0% (400)
Away
47.4% (555)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Scheifele
Thomas
P1
52.3%
49.6%
P2
45.3%
55.4%
P3
43.9%
51.0%
OT
27.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |