Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Greene on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Greene 43.9% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 59.7%
Defensive zone
Greene 85.9%
Neutral zone
Greene 66.6%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 85.9%
14.1%
85.9%
Scheifele
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Scheifele
Greene
Last 6: Scheifele 1-5 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greene
1
5
Scheifele
Greene
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
43.6% (512)
+2.9%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
46.8% (62)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
40.1% (167)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Scheifele is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Scheifele shoots right. Greene is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Greene
Home
46.6% (605)
47.4% (382)
Away
47.4% (555)
38.4% (359)
By Period
Scheifele
Greene
P1
52.3%
46.8%
P2
45.3%
37.6%
P3
43.9%
45.2%
OT
27.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |