Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Greene on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Scheifele wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Greene 43.7% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 61.7%
Defensive zone
Greene 85.5%
Neutral zone
Greene 66.9%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 85.5%
14.5%
85.5%
Scheifele
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Scheifele
Greene
Last 6: Scheifele 1-5 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greene
1
5
Scheifele
Greene
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,077)
43.2% (530)
+3.1%
Power Play
50.2% (2,576)
46.8% (62)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
40.1% (167)
+1.5%
On power play, Scheifele has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Scheifele is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,390).
Scheifele shoots right. Greene is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Greene
Home
48.9% (7,678)
47.4% (382)
Away
44.7% (7,574)
38.2% (377)
By Period
Scheifele
Greene
P1
48.2%
46.1%
P2
45.6%
37.6%
P3
46.8%
45.2%
OT
42.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |