Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Hartman 45.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 67.9%
Defensive zone
Hartman 64.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.2%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Scheifele
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Scheifele
Hartman
Last 10: Scheifele 6-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
1
Scheifele
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
3
Scheifele
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
1
Scheifele
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
45.1% (874)
+1.4%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
47.4% (95)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
37.5% (16)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Scheifele is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Scheifele shoots right. Hartman is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Hartman
Home
46.6% (605)
45.0% (515)
Away
47.4% (555)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Scheifele
Hartman
P1
52.3%
47.3%
P2
45.3%
40.1%
P3
43.9%
48.3%
OT
27.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |