Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Strome 44.7% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 31-28 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 64.8%
Defensive zone
Strome 51.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 55.5%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Scheifele
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
28
(59 meetings)
31
28
Scheifele
Strome
Last 10: Scheifele 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
14
4
Scheifele
Strome
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
10
13
Scheifele
Strome
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
7
11
Scheifele
Strome
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (11,832)
44.2% (6,744)
+2.1%
Power Play
50.2% (2,508)
49.4% (848)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (594)
41.5% (407)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Scheifele shoots right. Strome is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,344).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Strome
Home
48.8% (7,499)
44.4% (3,997)
Away
44.6% (7,436)
44.8% (4,002)
By Period
Scheifele
Strome
P1
48.2%
44.2%
P2
45.5%
45.2%
P3
46.8%
44.4%
OT
42.9%
45.6%
Final 5 min
45.5%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 06:25 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |