Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Couturier 53.6% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 77.6%
Defensive zone
Couturier 85.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 50.5%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Scheifele
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Scheifele
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
53.9% (792)
-7.4%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
62.9% (70)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
51.3% (234)
-1.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Scheifele shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Couturier
Home
46.6% (605)
51.4% (541)
Away
47.4% (555)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Scheifele
Couturier
P1
52.3%
56.0%
P2
45.3%
52.6%
P3
43.9%
54.3%
OT
27.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |