Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 70.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 91.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 66.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Scheifele
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Scheifele
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
52.6% (464)
-6.1%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
100.0% (1)
-51.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
46.5% (155)
+3.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Scheifele shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Kuraly
Home
46.6% (605)
55.9% (322)
Away
47.4% (555)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Scheifele
Kuraly
P1
52.3%
55.9%
P2
45.3%
46.7%
P3
43.9%
50.7%
OT
27.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |